Gameweek 4 2026-27 Final edition

The Gameweek 4 Briefing

Gameweek 4: Haaland is the model's top captain pick on 5.6 projected; B.Fernandes, Tzolakis, Ajayi lead the form table; Milenković is the standout differential at 1.6% owned; Man City have the kindest attacking run; 3 widely-owned players carry a fitness flag.

Frozen at the Gameweek 4 deadline. Nothing on this page has changed since, and nothing will — it is what the model said before the games were played.

The Armband

The three highest projections in the game this gameweek, whoever owns them.

Man City FWD

Haaland

5.6 projected

Haaland is the model's highest projection this gameweek at 5.6 points against MUN (A), owned by 71.2%.

Price
£15.5m
Owned
71.2%

MUN (A)SUN (H)LIV (A)

Chelsea MID

Rogers

4.9 projected

Rogers projects 4.9 points against HUL (H), 0.7 behind the leader, owned by 33.2%.

Price
£7.6m
Owned
33.2%
Behind
0.7

HUL (H)BRE (A)BOU (H)

Arsenal MID

Saka

4.9 projected

Saka projects 4.9 points against SUN (A), 0.7 behind the leader, owned by 11.5%.

Price
£9.5m
Owned
11.5%
Behind
0.7

SUN (A)BHA (A)LEE (H)

In Form

The three highest form figures among players who are fit and playing regularly.

Man Utd MID

B.Fernandes

9.0 form

B.Fernandes is on 9.0 form with 3 goals and 1 assist this season, from 3.0 expected goal involvements.

Price
£12.0m
Owned
43.3%
Projected
3.6

MCI (H)FUL (A)TOT (H)

Hull City GK

Tzolakis

8.7 form

Tzolakis is on 8.7 form.

Price
£4.6m
Owned
9.8%
Projected
2.9

CHE (A)NEW (A)EVE (H)

Hull City DEF

Ajayi

8.3 form

Ajayi is on 8.3 form with 1 goal this season, from 0.5 expected goal involvements.

Price
£4.2m
Owned
12.2%
Projected
1.5

CHE (A)NEW (A)EVE (H)

Differentials

Well rated by the model, owned by almost nobody — where rank is actually won.

Nott'm Forest DEF

Milenković

1.6% owned

Projected 4.4 points at 1.6% ownership, and £5.5m. Milenković has 0.1 expected goal involvements behind that.

Price
£5.5m
Projected
4.4
Form
4.0

AVL (A)COV (H)CRY (A)

Bournemouth MID

Tavernier

3.6% owned

Projected 4.2 points at 3.6% ownership, and £6.0m. Tavernier has 1.8 expected goal involvements behind that.

Price
£6.0m
Projected
4.2
Form
7.0

BRE (H)LIV (H)CHE (A)

Leeds MID

Stach

2.8% owned

Projected 3.9 points at 2.8% ownership, and £6.0m. Stach has 0.7 expected goal involvements behind that.

Price
£6.0m
Projected
3.9
Form
6.3

NEW (H)CRY (H)ARS (A)

The Fixture List

Scored out of 10 across all twenty clubs, over the next 5 gameweeks — 10 is the kindest run in the division. It weighs each club's own strength against its opponent's, so a good defence facing a weak attack rates as easy.

Kindest for attackers

Target the forwards and attacking midfielders.

Man City 10.0/10

MUN (A)SUN (H)LIV (A)IPS (H)AVL (A)

Man Utd 8.8/10

MCI (H)FUL (A)TOT (H)LEE (A)BOU (H)

Chelsea 8.7/10

HUL (H)BRE (A)BOU (H)EVE (A)TOT (H)

  • Rogers MID · £7.6m · 4.9 pts
  • Palmer MID · £9.7m · 4.1 pts

Kindest for defences

Target the defenders and the goalkeeper.

Arsenal 10.0/10

SUN (A)BHA (A)LEE (H)NFO (A)EVE (H)

  • Gabriel DEF · £8.0m · 3.5 pts
  • Raya GK · £6.0m · 3.3 pts
Newcastle 7.9/10

LEE (A)HUL (H)COV (A)AVL (H)CRY (A)

  • Thiaw DEF · £5.0m · 3.9 pts
  • Pope GK · £4.9m · 2.8 pts
Man City 7.8/10

MUN (A)SUN (H)LIV (A)IPS (H)AVL (A)

The Treatment Table

Fitness flags on players enough people own for it to matter.

  • Liverpool Gakpo 13.0% owned

    FPL lists Gakpo at a 75% chance of playing the next gameweek — Thigh injury - 75% chance of playing.

  • Man Utd Shaw 12.3% owned

    FPL lists Shaw at a 75% chance of playing the next gameweek — Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing.

  • Spurs Pedro Porro 11.1% owned

    FPL lists Pedro Porro at a 75% chance of playing the next gameweek — Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing.